How high can prices go?

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Abbey

Member
Joined
Oct 29, 2018
Messages
369
Location
Phoenix
Just read an article on TTAG that had a quote that ammo supply won’t be back to “normal” for 3 years. (Take that with a grain of salt - it just got me thinking)

I know many of us have much more than 3 years supply on hand, but for the many that don’t, how high can prices go? When do prices start to impact your actions? And at what point are people priced out of shooting sports and start selling the guns they no longer have ammo for?

I doubled down on reloading gear and supplies awhile back but I’m tempted to sell off part of my stash to buy even more reloading supplies.

The biggest impact to me so far is that I have held off adding any new calibers. That 300 PRC project is on hold until supply chains loosen up a bit.
 
I recently bought 300 rnds of Herters (Cabalea's brand) for $30 per 100 and some 45ACP for 20.99 for 50. Not great prices and I've definitely seen worse.
 
knockonit said:
https://www.arizonashooting.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=46&t=10500

Ha ha. I guess the caps lock kept me away from that thread. At any rate, I was more reacting to the "3 more years" comment. Not saying "OMG, it's expensive, I remember buying 9mm for $.05 and gasoline for $.50", more "OMG, we're already 9 months in - what could happen if there is 3 more years of this?"

Previous shortages, I remember buying varmint .223 or soft points because I couldn't find any FMJ or proper 5.56, and I recall seeing plenty of .40S&W while 9 & .45 were nowhere to be seen. This time around feels a bit different.
 
Abbey said:
knockonit said:
https://www.arizonashooting.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=46&t=10500

Ha ha. I guess the caps lock kept me away from that thread. At any rate, I was more reacting to the "3 more years" comment. Not saying "OMG, it's expensive, I remember buying 9mm for $.05 and gasoline for $.50", more "OMG, we're already 9 months in - what could happen if there is 3 more years of this?"

Previous shortages, I remember buying varmint .223 or soft points because I couldn't find any FMJ or proper 5.56, and I recall seeing plenty of .40S&W while 9 & .45 were nowhere to be seen. This time around feels a bit different.

haha, yeah i know, being an old guy have some fond memories, especially about freedoms, but alas, changes have arrived
best for the hunt
Rj
 
I've got reloading supplies to get me through the next 4 years at least, assuming I stick with the current cartridges I load for, but I just bid on a new 243Win barrel and I might have to look into some new supplies, that shouldn't be too bad though as I CAN use my 308win brass and powders but it might not be ideal.

I'll definitely need new bullets though, but thankfully 6mm isn't a big scare buying caliber.
 
I've got reloading supplies to get me through the next 4 years at least, assuming I stick with the current cartridges I load for, but I just bid on a new 243Win barrel and I might have to look into some new supplies, that shouldn't be too bad though as I CAN use my 308win brass and powders but it might not be ideal.

I'll definitely need new bullets though, but thankfully 6mm isn't a big scare buying caliber.
 
A big shout out to RJ for a primer dump 16 months ago. Plus my Seal(navy type) & me got the RJ tour and good visit. Nice guy RJ!!
I am good with supplies for a very very long time!
 
87jeep said:
A big shout out to RJ for a primer dump 16 months ago. Plus my Seal(navy type) & me got the RJ tour and good visit. Nice guy RJ!!
I am good with supplies for a very very long time!

yeehaw, glad to have meet you and the pard, and so glad you were one of the sharp ones, stocking up
Rj
 
I don't know guys. I am getting a little more optimistic. Gun prices are coming back down. I think all the first timers have bought what they were going to buy. Local used prices are even coming back but prices online have fallen quite a bit and I am seeing more guns being available. Found some fmj bullets too and they had dropped in half from the highs I saw. Still higher than 9 months ago but better than three months ago.

Now if primers come back woo hoo
 
Boriqua said:
I don't know guys. I am getting a little more optimistic. Gun prices are coming back down. I think all the first timers have bought what they were going to buy. Local used prices are even coming back but prices online have fallen quite a bit and I am seeing more guns being available. Found some fmj bullets too and they had dropped in half from the highs I saw. Still higher than 9 months ago but better than three months ago.

Now if primers come back woo hoo

The amount of people shooting at the range is going down pretty quickly also, so I think you're right that first timers have bought most of what they're going to buy and things are heading back down.
 
gat prices may be coming down, but haven't really seen any proof of it, values still high, and vendors my group talk to, still remain vigilant on sales and promises of delivery of quite a few popular lines, now ammo and components are another item,
per vendors, powder prices going up, other components going up as much as 22%, so one can expect what is on shelves or offered will go up to meet replacement sales prices. One source says they are at least three months behind on back orders of primers, common components of projos, and some brass.
i guess buying a cheaper gun is good, but........the goods to shoot it, well.............

Had a guy yesterday offer me a bunch of odd ball ammo, most of which i would never shoot, nevertheless, i'll pick up today and put in the stash, sometime in the near future, i may have something that will shoot it, and most likely one of my ilk, will also

happy tuesday, another day closer to the end
Rj
 
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